A medical student writes:
I am a few weeks away from applying for residency training in general surgery. Lately I've been lamenting that I was not born in the 1950s. I worry that the physician that I became enamored with so early in life is looking more and more like the surgeon I may never become.
Increasing enthusiasm for innovation in surgical technology is subtly paving a road toward a time in which a surgeon may be rendered obsolete. The rise of the two M's—machines and mid-levels—may herald a very different future from that which I ever imagined.
I love to solve problems and stand (not sit!) above an anesthetized patient making use of my hands and tools directly. There has never been a higher challenge than surgery which involves clinical skills in diagnosis, peri- and intraoperative disease management, and a sense of duty, service, and sacrifice. And now, robotics calls into question why hands might ever need to be laid on patients, and time-honored sutures are replaced with Silicon Valley-prescribed tinker toys.
Many articles call into question the relevance of physicians, particularly surgeons, in the not-too-distant future.
Will mid-level providers take away many general surgery cases? Will opportunities to function as a surgeon be threatened by the relentless emergence of technological or perhaps financial pressures? Are surgical societies actively confronting these issues?
I see you have thought about this in depth.
The PAs I have worked with did a lot of rounding, H&Ps, clinic work, and discharge summaries. In the OR, they assisted and closed skin. In some specialties, they do more such as harvesting vein grafts and closing fascia.
Here's an interesting anecdote about a PA who excised a neck mass by himself. He smelled it, said it was a benign sebaceous cyst, and threw it away. When the mass recurred, a surgeon biopsied it and found squamous cell carcinoma.
I don't see robots operating independently for quite a while, if ever, although NASA apparently has a robot that can be inserted into the abdomen and perform an appendectomy while being controlled remotely.
There is much variability in the location of the appendix, the inflammatory response, and the location of surrounding structures. How can a robot can ever be programmed to do this supposedly simple operation without human guidance?
If NASA has a miniature robot, it may be possible to control it while standing next to the patient. Having never seen it, I just don't know.
Surgery will undoubtedly change a lot in the next 40 or 50 years. As I wrote here, it certainly has since the 1970s. It might change at a faster rate too. But surgeons have adapted well, and they will continue to do so.
Surgical societies have not exactly shined during all of these changes. When laparoscopic general surgery was introduced in about 1990, mainstream surgical leaders called it heresy and were slow to catch up. Conversely, few said anything about the introduction and widespread acceptance of the da Vinci robot, which has not been shown to improve outcomes despite all the fanfare and expense.
Someone (the feds?) will have to put the brakes on unproven technologies or the country will go broke.
So if you want to be a surgeon, go for it, but be prepared for change.